Choose a Day

ARI SDN 2024-06-06 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ARI120 000 10041891
SDN000 030 000316102

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ARI-1.400.00Slade Cecconi (R) 37.0-0.86
SDN-1.090.40Randy Vasquez (R) 26.7-0.34

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ARI0.4880.4931031030.488 - 0.5000.489
SDN0.5560.548-121830.545 - 0.5560.511

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ARI0.36Randy Vasquez
--0.34=1
Relief SDN
-0.56=0
SDN-0.49Slade Cecconi
--0.86=0
Relief ARI
-0=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ARI303326.0-30.04.0-3.0
SDN32340.1-2.58.4-3.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ARI3231-10.6%1.2%62
SDN3432-5.6%6.1%63

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
ARI0.4930.5200.4890.533105.699.3108.2
SDN0.5480.4800.5110.46787.893.585.5

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SDN-24.50.50.04.0-3.3
ARI-30.74.3-4.91.3-3.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYARI-0.1-0.06
HOMESDN-0.01-0.68

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