Choose a Day

BAL TOR 2024-06-06 12:07 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BAL000 001 02251660
TOR003 102 0061170

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BAL0.000.00Cade Povich (X) 0.0-0.06
TOR0.52-0.39Yusei Kikuchi (L) 66.3-0.04

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BAL0.4880.4811081080.476 - 0.488NA
TOR0.5560.561-128780.556 - 0.565NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BAL1.29Yusei Kikuchi
--0.04=1
Relief TOR
--0.75=2
TOR0Cade Povich
--0.06=0
Relief BAL
-1.33=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BAL392248.332.37.4-1.5
TOR3032-24.0-11.0-8.07.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BAL342714.3%-23.0%59
TOR3230-13.9%5.2%61

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:07

details
BAL0.481NANANANANANA
TOR0.561NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BAL1721.510.37.63.6-1.5
TOR-2-4.8-5.21.7-1.47.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBAL1.992.85
HOMETOR-0.06-0.03

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