Choose a Day

BOS CHA 2024-06-06 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS120 404 2101436240
CHA000 001 1002841

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS3.79-0.14Tanner Houck (R) 78.02.29
CHA-0.22-0.04Jake Woodford (R) 4.3-0.14

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.7140.708-243410.706 - 0.725NA
CHA0.3330.3361981980.323 - 0.339NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS0.01Jake Woodford
--0.14=0
Relief CHA
--5.73=4
CHA-3.38Tanner Houck
-2.29=-6
Relief BOS
--0.15=-3

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS323120.026.0-8.0-7.0
CHA1548-93.7-54.1-4.2-1.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BOS3132-3.5%-4.3%62
CHA2340-40.9%13.8%62

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
BOS0.708NANANANANANA
CHA0.336NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BOS110.22.64.53.2-7.0
CHA-33-16.5-9.7-2.2-4.7-1.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBOS00.63
HOMECHA-6.3-2.58

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