Choose a Day

ARI SDN 2024-06-09 15:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ARI160 200 000919151
SDN111 000 00031371

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ARI-0.94-0.20Scott McGough (R) 17.0-0.66
SDN0.350.00Adam Mazur (X) 6.0-0.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ARI0.4760.4631161160.465 - 0.476NA
SDN0.5650.574-135740.565 - 0.574NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ARI0.18Adam Mazur
--0.01=0
Relief SDN
-0.49=0
SDN-0.17Scott McGough
--0.66=0
Relief ARI
--0.18=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ARI313525.4-42.44.0-1.3
SDN343512.4-2.89.4-5.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ARI3333-9.6%0.3%66
SDN3633-6.0%6.0%67

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
15:10

details
ARI0.463NANANANANANA
SDN0.574NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SDN-17.93.00.84.1-5.0
ARI-4-3.63.4-6.8-0.2-1.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYARI-0.15-0.17
HOMESDN0-0.45

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