Choose a Day

COL MIN 2024-06-10 18:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
COL000 000 0000661
MIN001 100 0351370

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
COL-1.79-0.82Dakota Hudson (R) 61.7-2.26
MIN-1.88-0.05Chris Paddack (R) 65.0-1.36

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
COL0.3280.3332002000.328 - 0.336X
MIN0.7140.712-247400.706 - 0.714X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
COL-0.4Chris Paddack
--1.36=1
Relief MIN
-0.13=-1
MIN-0.27Dakota Hudson
--2.26=2
Relief COL
--3.19=3

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
COL2343-20.4-86.0-0.52.4
MIN3531-1.7-5.46.14.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
COL2541-9.3%2.3%66
MIN3531-5.2%-7.3%66

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
COL0.333OOOOOO
MIN0.712OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIN4-0.8-0.5-3.33.04.2
COL-20-8.6-0.8-3.6-4.22.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCOL-2.12-4.03
HOMEMIN0.050.06

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