Choose a Day

CHA SEA 2024-06-11 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHA012 000 000316102
SEA011 000 204951

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHA0.000.00Drew Thorpe (R) 0.0-0.05
SEA0.00-0.09Jhonathan Diaz (L) 0.0-0.07

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHA0.4000.3971521520.392 - 0.408NA
SEA0.6420.647-183550.636 - 0.649NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHA-4.18Jhonathan Diaz
--0.07=-4
Relief SEA
-0.02=-4
SEA-0.17Drew Thorpe
--0.05=0
Relief CHA
--8.21=4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHA1751-90.9-51.7-6.4-2.7
SEA3930-27.728.610.06.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CHA2543-39.0%12.7%68
SEA37323.7%-12.0%69

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
CHA0.397NANANANANANA
SEA0.647NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA95.1-3.16.02.26.7
CHA-34-15.2-9.51.6-7.3-2.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCHA-6.07-8.14
HOMESEA0.361.57

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