Choose a Day

ANA ARI 2024-06-13 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA000 100 0001860
ARI301 000 61112190

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA-1.090.02Griffin Canning (R) 69.7-0.62
ARI-1.10-0.87Brandon Pfaadt (R) 78.3-1.54

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.3770.3851601600.377 - 0.392X
ARI0.6670.655-190530.650 - 0.667X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.24Brandon Pfaadt
--1.54=1
Relief ARI
-0.23=0
ARI0.29Griffin Canning
--0.62=1
Relief ANA
--3.21=4

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA2642-12.7-59.72.3-1.3
ARI333636.1-44.04.9-2.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA2939-13.9%7.0%68
ARI3534-9.0%-0.8%69

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
ANA0.385OOOOOO
ARI0.655OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ARI-3-3.83.8-10.53.0-1.3
ANA-16-5.0-0.80.2-4.3-0.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-1.17-0.05
HOMEARI-0.08-0.08

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