Choose a Day

CHN TBA 2024-06-13 17:50 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHN000 020 0002332
TBA000 000 303771

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHN0.372.05Justin Steele (L) 44.30.92
TBA-0.92-0.87Taj Bradley (R) 31.3-1.33

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHN0.5450.528-112890.524 - 0.5450.514
TBA0.5000.515-106940.500 - 0.5280.486

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHN0.08Taj Bradley
--1.33=1
Relief TBA
-0.24=0
TBA-0.09Justin Steele
-0.92=-1
Relief CHN
--1.19=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHN3336-9.46.3-13.90.6
TBA3336-26.9-28.0-7.110.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CHN3435-7.9%-2.4%69
TBA3534-11.9%6.1%69

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:50

details
CHN0.5280.5440.5140.514102.897.197.1
TBA0.5150.4560.4860.48688.594.394.3

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
TBA-3-7.7-5.0-3.20.510.0
CHN-33.8-0.36.6-2.60.6

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCHN-0.02-0.55
HOMETBA-0.08-0.63

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