Choose a Day

MIA NYN 2024-06-13 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIA000 001 10021580
NYN000 000 1023730

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
MIA-0.900.00Roddery Munoz (R) 19.7-0.5
NYN1.14-0.56Luis Severino (R) 72.00

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
MIA0.3770.3691711710.357 - 0.3770.368
NYN0.6670.673-206490.667 - 0.6860.632

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
MIA-1.64Luis Severino
-0=-2
Relief NYN
--0.5=-1
NYN0.58Roddery Munoz
--0.5=1
Relief MIA
--0.13=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIA2345-49.9-50.0-3.1-0.4
NYN3037-14.9-6.3-6.8-1.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
MIA3038-24.9%16.2%68
NYN3334-11.9%4.8%67

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
MIA0.3690.3980.3680.410107.999.7111.1
NYN0.6730.6020.6320.59089.794.287.9

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYN-71.73.3-1.2-0.4-1.1
MIA-22-13.5-7.9-6.10.4-0.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYMIA-2.3-0.76
HOMENYN-0.33-1.69

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