Choose a Day

ANA SFN 2024-06-14 21:15 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA013 400 000820110
SFN000 100 050614101

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA2.580.58Tyler Anderson (L) 82.01.68
SFN0.61-0.93Spencer Howard (R) 13.3-0.14

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.4350.4391281280.435 - 0.444NA
SFN0.6060.600-150670.600 - 0.608NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.34Spencer Howard
--0.14=0
Relief SFN
-0.29=-1
SFN-0.34Tyler Anderson
-1.68=-2
Relief ANA
--4.43=4

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA2742-8.5-62.32.7-0.7
SFN34362.3-29.6-1.74.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA3039-11.9%5.5%69
SFN3535-6.9%-2.6%70

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
21:15

details
ANA0.439NANANANANANA
SFN0.600NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SFN-26.71.00.65.04.1
ANA-15-7.1-1.4-0.1-5.6-0.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-1.37-0.11
HOMESFN-0.010.11

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon