Choose a Day

KCA LAN 2024-06-15 20:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
KCA000 104 20071370
LAN000 200 0002860

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
KCA3.510.85Seth Lugo (R) 91.33.32
LAN1.570.00Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R) 72.00.25

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
KCA0.3390.3411931930.328 - 0.357X
LAN0.7040.701-235430.692 - 0.714X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
KCA0.05Yoshinobu Yamamoto
-0.25=0
Relief LAN
-1.07=-1
LAN3.63Seth Lugo
-3.32=0
Relief KCA
--0.51=4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
KCA413137.28.618.2-3.4
LAN432945.445.07.6-6.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
KCA343811.5%-20.9%72
LAN4527-5.1%3.1%70

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:10

details
KCA0.341OOOOOO
LAN0.701OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1419.08.04.07.0-6.6
KCA1012.36.17.0-0.8-3.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYKCA0.410
HOMELAN1.151.22

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