Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team
| Tm | Line Score | R | TB | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 101 100 010 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 1 |
| MIL | 000 013 10 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 3 |
| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | -0.71 | -0.04 | Frankie Montas (R) | 55.3 | -0.31 |
| MIL | 1.12 | -0.18 | Colin Rea (R) | 70.7 | 0.08 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0.455 | 0.444 | 125 | 125 | 0.439 - 0.455 | 0.428 |
| MIL | 0.592 | 0.597 | -148 | 68 | 0.592 - 0.615 | 0.572 |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN-0.08 | Colin Rea | |||
| - | 0.08 | = | 0 | |
| Relief MIL | ||||
| - | 0.66 | = | -1 | |
| MIL0.78 | Frankie Montas | |||
| - | -0.31 | = | 1 | |
| Relief CIN | ||||
| - | 0.13 | = | 1 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 34 | 37 | -0.3 | 12.6 | 0.8 | -5.8 | |
| MIL | 42 | 29 | 33.4 | 25.3 | 4.3 | -0.2 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | W | L | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 35 | 36 | -4.5% | -3.8% | 71 |
| MIL | 35 | 36 | 12.7% | -22.5% | 71 |
Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.
| Time | Tm | Vegas | Neutral | HAP | HAWAA | Expected Values | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:10 details | CIN | 0.444 | 0.457 | 0.428 | 0.421 | 102.8 | 96.3 | 94.7 |
| MIL | 0.597 | 0.543 | 0.572 | 0.579 | 91.2 | 96.1 | 97.3 | |
| Tm | W-L | Total | Hitters | Starters | Relief | dPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 13 | 15.4 | 8.4 | 0.8 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| CIN | -3 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -5.8 |
| Tm | total WAA | away/home WAA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | CIN | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| HOME | MIL | 0.75 | 0.89 |
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