Choose a Day

SDN PHI 2024-06-19 12:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN010 000 130518120
PHI001 000 01021362

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN0.69-0.01Matt Waldron (R) 76.30.01
PHI4.370.41Ranger Suarez (L) 86.34.41

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.3880.3891571570.385 - 0.426X
PHI0.6540.654-189530.636 - 0.655X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN-0.28Ranger Suarez
-4.41=-4
Relief PHI
-1.06=-1
PHI3.41Matt Waldron
-0.01=3
Relief SDN
-0.17=3

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN38406.7-7.912.2-4.3
PHI492550.752.3-2.02.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SDN4038-7.9%5.3%76
PHI44309.2%-25.5%74

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
SDN0.389OOOOOO
PHI0.654OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
PHI2425.010.19.15.82.8
SDN-23.81.2-0.83.4-4.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSDN-0.040.02
HOMEPHI3.014.38

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