Choose a Day

TBA MIN 2024-06-20 12:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TBA011 000 013 1723110
MIN011 000 004 0622100

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TBA-0.56-0.17Zack Littell (R) 76.3-0.33
MIN0.91-0.10Simeon Woods Richardson (R) 54.70.02

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TBA0.4350.4671141140.435 - 0.4670.451
MIN0.6060.576-136740.574 - 0.6060.549

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TBA-0.08Simeon Woods Richardson
-0.02=0
Relief MIN
-0=0
MIN0.55Zack Littell
--0.33=1
Relief TBA
-0.18=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TBA3639-24.9-38.0-7.111.7
MIN413416.3-6.95.63.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TBA3837-10.2%4.0%75
MIN4035-4.8%-8.7%75

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:10

details
TBA0.4670.4800.4510.450102.796.596.3
MIN0.5760.5200.5490.55090.595.595.7

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIN72.44.8-3.81.43.9
TBA-3-9.0-5.2-4.60.911.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTBA-0.080.07
HOMEMIN0.310.54

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