Choose a Day

ATL NYA 2024-06-21 18:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ATL311 300 000828140
NYA010 000 0001531

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ATL1.960.06Chris Sale (L) 81.70.51
NYA1.370.19Carlos Rodon (L) 85.00.25

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ATL0.5280.517-107930.519 - 0.528X
NYA0.5190.524-110910.519 - 0.524X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ATL0.62Carlos Rodon
-0.25=0
Relief NYA
-0.01=1
NYA2.6Chris Sale
-0.51=2
Relief ATL
-1.33=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ATL4231-1.344.49.9-0.1
NYA512752.255.8-2.01.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ATL4429-8.0%-1.2%73
NYA433514.8%-23.5%78

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:05

details
ATL0.517OOOOOO
NYA0.524OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYA2420.911.86.72.41.7
ATL1115.51.77.66.3-0.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYATL0.480.02
HOMENYA2.991.22

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