Choose a Day

LAN CHA 2024-06-25 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
LAN102 100 00041470
CHA300 000 00031580

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
LAN-0.850.36Bobby Miller (R) 18.0-0.21
CHA-1.60-0.70Chris Flexen (R) 73.3-1.64

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
LAN0.6920.687-219460.686 - 0.6940.660
CHA0.3570.3561811810.347 - 0.3570.340

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
LAN2.28Chris Flexen
--1.64=4
Relief CHA
--4.55=6
CHA-4.77Bobby Miller
--0.21=-4
Relief LAN
-2.08=-6

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
LAN503154.054.37.6-5.3
CHA2160-113.5-42.2-12.3-3.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
LAN5130-2.5%-2.0%79
CHA3051-37.4%12.3%81

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
LAN0.6870.6940.6600.743101.396.4108.5
CHA0.3560.3060.3400.25786.095.572.2

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1921.98.15.58.2-5.3
CHA-39-18.0-16.02.3-4.3-3.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYLAN1.471.55
HOMECHA-6.54-3.49

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