Choose a Day

PIT CIN 2024-06-25 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
PIT303 021 000916102
CIN000 031 00151590

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
PIT1.890.22Mitch Keller (R) 92.70.53
CIN1.43-0.59Hunter Greene (R) 88.70.02

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
PIT0.4760.4761101100.472 - 0.4950.439
CIN0.5650.565-130770.545 - 0.5740.561

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
PIT-1.06Hunter Greene
-0.02=-1
Relief CIN
-0.06=-1
CIN-0.27Mitch Keller
-0.53=-1
Relief PIT
--3.69=3

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
PIT3841-21.4-5.2-8.44.3
CIN3742-5.413.82.6-7.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
PIT3841-2.7%-0.7%79
CIN3940-7.2%-1.4%79

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
PIT0.4760.4680.4390.43898.392.292.0
CIN0.5650.5320.5610.56294.299.399.5

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
PIT-3-4.0-4.14.5-4.42.6
CIN-53.9-1.33.51.7-6.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYPIT-0.070
HOMECIN-0.07-0.18

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