Choose a Day

ANA OAK 2024-07-02 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA000 010 202513110
OAK000 403 0071470

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA0.910.13Jose Soriano (R) 72.30.07
OAK-0.450.00Mitch Spence (R) 68.3-0.19

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.5190.524-110910.519 - 0.5350.547
OAK0.5190.517-107930.512 - 0.5240.453

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.31Mitch Spence
--0.19=0
Relief OAK
--0.38=0
OAK-1.74Jose Soriano
-0.07=-2
Relief ANA
--0.24=-2

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA3648-9.5-60.13.61.9
OAK3156-64.7-28.1-13.2-2.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA3648-5.8%-1.6%84
OAK3453-16.5%3.2%87

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
ANA0.5240.5760.5470.588110.0104.5112.3
OAK0.5170.4240.4530.41281.887.479.5

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ANA-120.9-1.51.60.72.6
OAK-25-8.4-6.8-3.41.8-5.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-0.520
HOMEOAK-2.93-0.9

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