Choose a Day

TBA KCA 2024-07-03 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TBA100 000 01021050
KCA002 000 204872

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TBA-0.710.48Ryan Pepiot (R) 71.7-0.13
KCA0.331.03Michael Wacha (R) 78.30.15

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TBA0.5120.524-110910.512 - 0.5280.484
KCA0.5350.517-107930.519 - 0.5350.516

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TBA-0.17Michael Wacha
-0.15=0
Relief KCA
--0.68=1
KCA0.02Ryan Pepiot
--0.13=0
Relief TBA
-0.37=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TBA4343-24.9-24.4-4.611.3
KCA484010.920.621.5-3.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TBA4442-6.2%-0.2%86
KCA42465.0%-15.3%88

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
TBA0.5240.5130.4840.47698.092.490.9
KCA0.5170.4870.5160.52494.099.6101.1

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
KCA813.84.49.40.11.4
TBA0-3.6-4.4-2.12.910.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTBA00.42
HOMEKCA0.21.44

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