Choose a Day

SLN PIT 2024-07-04 11:35 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SLN010 000 000 2314100
PIT000 100 000 121171

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SLN-0.420.25Andre Pallante (R) 38.0-0.11
PIT-1.840.85Martin Perez (L) 61.3-0.51

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SLN0.5350.526-111900.524 - 0.5370.530
PIT0.5350.517-107930.512 - 0.5350.470

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SLN-0.45Martin Perez
--0.51=0
Relief PIT
--1.75=1
PIT-1.07Andre Pallante
--0.11=-1
Relief SLN
-0.18=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SLN4541-46.420.0-12.512.2
PIT4145-29.53.7-11.13.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SLN4244-0.3%-6.1%85
PIT4145-2.9%-0.5%86

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:35

details
SLN0.5260.5600.5300.530106.4100.7100.7
PIT0.5170.4400.4700.47084.990.790.7

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SLN4-0.9-5.10.43.89.5
PIT-4-3.2-4.32.9-1.81.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSLN0.040
HOMEPIT-0.04-0.19

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