Choose a Day

ANA CHN 2024-07-06 13:20 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA113 110 000716120
CHN000 000 0000442

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA2.480.37Tyler Anderson (L) 104.01.16
CHN-4.890.04Kyle Hendricks (R) 61.3-6.52

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.4350.4391281280.435 - 0.455X
CHN0.6060.602-151660.587 - 0.608X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.89Kyle Hendricks
--6.52=3
Relief CHN
--0.01=-1
CHN0Tyler Anderson
-1.16=-1
Relief ANA
--0.18=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA3751-20.6-54.42.01.3
CHN4149-27.810.7-11.9-1.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA3850-7.5%0.0%88
CHN4545-12.8%3.1%90

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
13:20

details
ANA0.439OOOOOO
CHN0.602OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
CHN-80.3-3.31.02.6-4.4
ANA-14-1.1-3.81.51.21.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-0.93-0.23
HOMECHN-0.20.03

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