Choose a Day

SEA SDN 2024-07-10 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SEA010 100 0002440
SDN000 000 0000662

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SEA0.56-0.01Bryce Miller (R) 103.00
SDN1.400.92Michael King (R) 105.00.71

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SEA0.4550.4551201200.444 - 0.4550.434
SDN0.5920.587-142700.592 - 0.6000.566

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SEA-1.66Michael King
-0.71=-2
Relief SDN
-0.01=-2
SDN0Bryce Miller
-0=0
Relief SEA
-0.07=0

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SEA5143-50.250.410.75.7
SDN494721.2-15.09.8-1.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SEA5044-0.5%-7.6%94
SDN4947-2.7%0.5%94

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
SEA0.4550.4630.4340.434101.995.595.5
SDN0.5870.5370.5660.56691.396.296.2

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA80.5-9.66.63.58.0
SDN26.64.8-1.43.10.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSEA0.15-0.13
HOMESDN0.07-0.01

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