Choose a Day

TEX ANA 2024-07-10 20:38 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TEX000 020 00021181
ANA041 000 0271580

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TEX1.83-0.02Michael Lorenzen (R) 87.00.37
ANA-1.800.01Griffin Canning (R) 98.0-1.12

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TEX0.5650.565-130770.565 - 0.5650.536
ANA0.4760.4761101100.476 - 0.4760.464

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TEX0.16Griffin Canning
--1.12=1
Relief ANA
--0.17=0
ANA-0.51Michael Lorenzen
-0.37=-1
Relief TEX
-0.44=-1

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TEX44493.56.8-1.3-6.9
ANA3854-23.2-59.03.20.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TEX4845-11.2%3.1%93
ANA4052-9.2%1.0%92

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:38

details
TEX0.5650.5670.5360.584100.494.9103.4
ANA0.4760.4330.4640.41690.997.487.4

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
TEX-511.70.25.26.3-7.2
ANA-16-2.5-4.91.21.21.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTEX-0.1-0.33
HOMEANA-1.04-1.83

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon