Choose a Day

KCA SLN 2024-07-10 18:45 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
KCA001 221 101822121
SLN010 120 100517100

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
KCA0.770.86Michael Wacha (R) 84.30.27
SLN0.200.00Gordon Graceffo (R) 4.3-0.02

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
KCA0.4760.4461241240.000 - 0.000NA
SLN0.5650.593-146680.000 - 0.000NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
KCA0Gordon Graceffo
--0.02=0
Relief SLN
-0.58=-1
SLN-0.11Michael Wacha
-0.27=0
Relief KCA
--0.59=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
KCA514313.226.021.8-4.8
SLN4844-42.815.0-12.212.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
KCA45494.8%-13.5%94
SLN4646-0.8%-5.4%91

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:45

details
KCA0.446NANANANANANA
SLN0.593NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
KCA813.43.410.2-0.2-0.2
SLN41.3-3.7-1.26.29.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYKCA0.15-0.22
HOMESLN0.150.07

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