Choose a Day

MIN CHA 2024-07-10 13:15 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIN000 002 10031251
CHA011 000 0002841

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
MIN-2.570.59Pablo Lopez (R) 99.0-1.31
CHA0.250.00Drew Thorpe (R) 26.7-0.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
MIN0.6380.617-161620.606 - 0.6150.617
CHA0.4030.4241361360.426 - 0.4350.383

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
MIN1.09Drew Thorpe
--0.01=1
Relief CHA
--3.97=5
CHA-4.06Pablo Lopez
--1.31=-3
Relief MIN
-0.11=-4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIN534040.27.04.82.1
CHA2768-121.4-28.4-15.2-6.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
MIN5043-1.2%-12.1%93
CHA3560-31.4%10.9%95

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
13:15

details
MIN0.6170.6410.6170.680103.8100.0110.2
CHA0.4240.3590.3830.32084.790.475.5

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIN1311.59.3-1.84.03.1
CHA-41-17.6-16.63.3-4.3-9.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYMIN0.690.51
HOMECHA-6.84-3.74

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