Choose a Day

NYN MIA 2024-07-19 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
NYN000 022 00041581
MIA022 010 01615101

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
NYN1.26-0.55Sean Manaea (L) 96.30
MIA-2.770.23Edward Cabrera (R) 28.3-2.45

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
NYN0.5850.569-132760.565 - 0.583X
MIA0.4590.4691131130.459 - 0.476X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
NYN2.37Edward Cabrera
--2.45=5
Relief MIA
-0=2
MIA-3.86Sean Manaea
-0=-4
Relief NYN
--0.92=-3

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
NYN494728.8-11.0-6.8-0.3WC
MIA3463-81.0-58.2-10.82.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
NYN4947-2.0%-5.5%96
MIA4156-19.5%11.2%97

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
NYN0.569OOOOOO
MIA0.469OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYN29.611.51.2-3.1-1.7
MIA-29-14.3-11.0-6.33.00.2

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYNYN0.040.39
HOMEMIA-3.6-3.49

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon