Choose a Day

SFN LAN 2024-07-22 21:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SFN000 100 1002850
LAN000 101 0131060

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SFN-1.850.95Blake Snell (L) 35.7-0.49
LAN0.000.00River Ryan (X) 0.0-0.07

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SFN0.4760.4781091090.455 - 0.488NA
LAN0.5650.561-128780.556 - 0.592NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SFN0River Ryan
--0.07=0
Relief LAN
-1.19=-1
LAN3.07Blake Snell
--0.49=4
Relief SFN
-0.08=3

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SFN48533.0-35.30.41.7
LAN604162.727.55.9-1.2NLDS

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SFN5150-7.8%0.1%101
LAN6239-4.7%-1.1%99

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
21:10

details
SFN0.478NANANANANANA
LAN0.561NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1920.510.31.78.50.1
SFN-58.53.31.14.11.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSFN-0.06-0.53
HOMELAN1.271.42

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