Choose a Day

NYA CHA 2024-08-12 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
NYA100 010 00021090
CHA200 210 611231182

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
NYA2.82-0.01Luis Gil (R) 117.71.22
CHA-0.240.00Ky Bush (L) 4.0-0.12

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
NYA0.7830.779-352280.730 - 0.785NA
CHA0.2600.2652772770.260 - 0.312NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
NYA3.81Ky Bush
--0.12=4
Relief CHA
--2.07=6
CHA-8.76Luis Gil
-1.22=-5
Relief NYA
-0.08=-4

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
NYA705080.029.3-2.2-2.5WC
CHA2991-161.4-63.8-15.8-11.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
NYA66543.0%-4.3%120
CHA4476-40.3%17.5%120

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
NYA0.779NANANANANANA
CHA0.265NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYA2023.718.50.84.4-3.0
CHA-62-27.1-21.1-1.3-4.6-14.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYNYA1.062.37
HOMECHA-10.67-7.14

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon