Choose a Day

ARI TBA 2024-08-17 15:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ARI000 010 0001550
TBA220 002 00621131

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ARI1.030.05Zac Gallen (R) 105.00.09
TBA-0.170.03Jeffrey Springs (L) 13.7-0.09

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ARI0.5350.537-116860.208 - 0.545NA
TBA0.5120.502-101990.495 - 0.524NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ARI0.88Jeffrey Springs
--0.09=1
Relief TBA
-0.17=1
TBA-1.94Zac Gallen
-0.09=-2
Relief ARI
-1.26=-3

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ARI6955104.5-42.79.1-0.9WC
TBA6161-56.412.7-6.210.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ARI62625.1%-15.5%124
TBA6161-4.3%-2.1%122

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
15:10

details
ARI0.537NANANANANANA
TBA0.502NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ARI1420.714.1-2.89.41.0
TBA0-1.6-9.62.55.59.2

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYARI0.060.14
HOMETBA0.01-0.05

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