Choose a Day

DET KCA 2024-09-16 18:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
DET000 133 000721140
KCA004 110 000618112

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
DET2.110Reese Olson (R) 103.00.53
KCA3.820Seth Lugo (R) 172.02.41

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
DET0.4460.4611171170.444 - 0.4670.411
KCA0.5970.580-138720.573 - 0.6000.589

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
DET-0.04Seth Lugo
-2.41=-2
Relief KCA
--0.2=0
KCA0.34Reese Olson
-0.53=0
Relief DET
--0.04=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
DET7873-36.374.1-1.8-2.6
KCA826945.433.323.3-8.4WC

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
DET72791.3%-9.7%151
KCA75761.5%-13.2%151

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
DET0.4610.4400.4110.40595.589.287.9
KCA0.5800.5600.5890.59596.3101.3102.3

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
KCA1318.94.312.91.7-3.5
DET58.8-0.96.73.1-2.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYDET-0.030.01
HOMEKCA0.231.69

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