Choose a Day

SEA TEX 2024-09-20 19:05 CST

Line Score

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SEA001 030 2208X100
TEX000 200 0002X93

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SEA2.030.00George Kirby (R) 179.00.31
TEX0.350.00Jacob deGrom (R) 3.7-0.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SEA0.5120.481+1081080.472 - 0.488NA
TEX0.5350.559-127790.554 - 0.569NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SEA-1.31Jacob deGrom
--0.01=-1
Relief TEX
--0.2=-1
TEX-0.69George Kirby
-0.31=-1
Relief SEA
-0.39=-1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SEA7875-46.685.45.2-6.2
TEX7380-34.6-32.65.26.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SEA8370-8.2%0.9%153
TEX7875-12.1%1.3%152

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:05

details
SEA0.481NANANANANANA
TEX0.559NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA310.8-9.712.67.8-5.1
TEX-7-2.7-7.33.01.67.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSEA0.090
HOMETEX-0.060.13

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