Choose a Day

ANA CHA 2024-09-24 18:40 CST

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA-0.550Jack Kochanowicz (R) 51.3-0.18
CHA-1.230Jonathan Cannon (R) 113.3-0.46

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.5650.524-110910.519 - 0.535X
CHA0.4760.517-107930.512 - 0.524X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.35Jonathan Cannon
--0.46=0
Relief CHA
--1.75=1
CHA-5.4Jack Kochanowicz
--0.18=-4
Relief ANA
--1.25=-3

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA6393-61.7-76.2-3.1-0.4
CHA36120-216.7-84.5-16.8-17.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA6690-8.7%1.6%156
CHA56100-40.4%17.2%155

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
ANA0.524OOOOOO
CHA0.517OOOOOO

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ANA-30-18.2-8.2-8.3-1.7-1.0
CHA-84-33.4-27.8-2.7-2.8-20.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-0.72-0.04
HOMECHA-10.67-7.14

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