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CIN MIL 2025-04-05 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CIN130 300 3011128141
MIL000 140 200716121

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CIN0.00-1.04Brady Singer (R) 0.0X
MIL0.000Kelvin Rodriguez (R) 0.0X

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CIN0.4880.4931031030.488 - 0.528X
MIL0.5560.550-122820.519 - 0.556X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CIN36-1.94.54.4-4.5
MIL45-4.9-23.50.44.9

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
CIN0.4920.333-34.3%25.6%9
MIL0.5170.444-18.9%0.0%9

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
CIN0.493XXXXXX
MIL0.550XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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