Choose a Day

TOR BOS 2025-04-09 17:45 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TOR100 000 000 012661
BOS100 000 000 001640

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TOR0.043.02Kevin Gausman (R) 11.3X
BOS-0.541.09Tanner Houck (R) 9.7X

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TOR0.4760.4761101100.467 - 0.488X
BOS0.5650.561-128780.556 - 0.574X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TOR85-6.7-2.613.32.2
BOS677.06.3-5.3-2.7

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
TOR0.4990.61520.0%-28.9%13
BOS0.5230.462-13.5%7.9%13

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:45

details
TOR0.476XXXXXX
BOS0.561XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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