Choose a Day

WAS PIT 2025-04-15 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
WAS100 002 00031281
PIT000 000 0000441

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
WAS-0.59-1.06Jake Irvin (R) 16.0-1.31
PIT-0.15-0.04Mitch Keller (R) 17.0-0.16

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
WAS0.4740.4671141140.465 - 0.490X
PIT0.5500.571-133750.550 - 0.574X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
WAS-1.25Mitch Keller
--0.16=-1
Relief PIT
--1.51=0
PIT-1.52Jake Irvin
--1.31=0
Relief WAS
--2.06=1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
WAS7103.5-4.4-13.1-0.1
PIT612-16.7-3.3-4.0-1.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
WAS0.4190.412-6.2%0.2%17
PIT0.4630.333-36.2%20.7%18

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
WAS0.467XXXXXX
PIT0.571XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYWAS-0.77-0.26
HOMEPIT-1.21-0.1

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