Choose a Day

CIN MIA 2025-04-22 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CIN001 011 00031271
MIA100 001 2041390

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CIN-1.002.83Nick Martinez (R) 21.00.36
MIA-0.59-0.90Edward Cabrera (R) 9.7-1.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CIN0.5500.543-119840.535 - 0.556X
MIA0.4760.4981011010.488 - 0.519X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CIN0.07Edward Cabrera
--1.01=1
Relief MIA
--1.75=2
MIA-0.51Nick Martinez
-0.36=-1
Relief CIN
-0.37=-1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CIN111320.28.1-0.3-7.9
MIA11121.2-18.9-0.32.8

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
CIN0.4850.458-6.8%2.1%24
MIA0.4100.47812.5%-19.1%23

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
CIN0.543XXXXXX
MIA0.498XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCIN-0.030.19
HOMEMIA-0.12-0.8

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