NLDS Game 1 2011-10-01

ARI MIL

Managers

Tm	Name
ARI	Kirk_Gibson
MIL	Ron_Roenicke

NLDS Game 1 ARI MIL 2011-10-01

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
ARI	+027+	5.63	Ian Kennedy	222.0	2.63
MIL	+147+	2.18	Yovani Gallardo	207.3	0.38

Start Time:1:07PM day Temp:67

TOG:164 Attendance:44122

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
ARI	000 000 010	1	7	4	0
MIL	000 101 20	4	15	8	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
ARI	0.485	0.485	+106	206	X
MIL	0.539	0.539	-117	185	X

2011 ARI MIL Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
ARI0.02		Yovani Gallardo
	-	0.38	=	0
		Relief MIL
	-	0.4	=	0
MIL1.1		Ian Kennedy
	-	2.63	=	-2
		Relief ARI
	-	0.9	=	0

ARI WAA		MIL WAA
1.36	-	1.81	=	0

ARI UR		MIL UR
0.13	-	0.02	=	0

2011 Vegas Status

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
ARI	94	68	14.1%	-18.6%	162
MIL	96	66	4.6%	-17.1%	162

2011 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
ARI	94	68	39.6	26.6	5.0	11.0	NLDS
MIL	96	66	30.1	52.7	2.0	12.2	NLDS

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