NLDS Game 3 2011-10-04

MIL ARI

Managers

Tm	Name
MIL	Ron_Roenicke
ARI	Kirk_Gibson

NLDS Game 3 MIL ARI 2011-10-04

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
MIL	+169+	1.99	Shaun Marcum	200.7	0.32
ARI	+160+	2.08	Josh Collmenter	154.3	0.35

Start Time:6:37PM night Temp:75

TOG:181 Attendance:48312

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
MIL	001 000 000	1	6	3	1
ARI	201 050 00	8	15	11	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
MIL	0.510	0.510	-104	196	X
ARI	0.515	0.515	-106	194	X

2011 MIL ARI Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
MIL1.02		Josh Collmenter
	-	0.35	=	1
		Relief ARI
	-	0.9	=	0
ARI0.17		Shaun Marcum
	-	0.32	=	0
		Relief MIL
	-	0.4	=	0

MIL WAA		ARI WAA
1.81	-	1.36	=	0

MIL UR		ARI UR
0.02	-	0.13	=	0

2011 Vegas Status

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
MIL	96	66	4.6%	-17.1%	162
ARI	94	68	14.1%	-18.6%	162

2011 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
MIL	96	66	30.1	52.7	2.0	12.2	NLDS
ARI	94	68	39.6	26.6	5.0	11.0	NLDS

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