NLDS Game 3 2023-10-11

LAN ARI

Managers

Tm	Name
LAN	Dave_Roberts
ARI	Torey_Lovullo

NLDS Game 3 LAN ARI 2023-10-11

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
LAN	-006-	-6.00	Lance Lynn	183.7	-0.02
ARI	-049-	-3.09	Brandon Pfaadt	96.0	-1.34

Start Time:6:07PM night Temp:87

Wind Speed:1 TOG:170 Attendance:48175

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
LAN	000 000 200	2	8	7	1
ARI	004 000 00	4	20	8	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
LAN	0.582	0.574	-135	174	X
ARI	0.439	0.465	+115	215	X

2023 LAN ARI Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
LAN4.65		Brandon Pfaadt
	-	-1.34	=	5
		Relief ARI
	-	-0.01	=	4
ARI0.16		Lance Lynn
	-	-0.02	=	0
		Relief LAN
	-	1.46	=	-1

LAN WAA		ARI WAA
2.14	-	0.05	=	2

LAN UR		ARI UR
1.51	-	1.01	=	1

2023 Vegas Status

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
LAN	100	62	1.2%	-8.3%	165
ARI	84	78	4.2%	-10.8%	179

2023 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
LAN	100	62	167.3	24.5	12.2	-4.8	NLDS
ARI	84	78	1.2	-26.1	9.8	9.2	WC

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