WC Game 2 2024-10-02

KCA BAL

WC Game 2 KCA BAL 2024-10-02

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
KCA	+015+	5.31	Seth Lugo	206.7	3.29
BAL	+159+	1.83	Zach Eflin	165.3	0.28

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
KCA	100 001 000	2	10	9	1
BAL	000 010 000	1	9	6	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
KCA	0.439	0.444	+125	225	X
BAL	0.603	0.598	-149	167	X

2024 KCA BAL Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
KCA0.51		Zach Eflin
	-	0.28	=	0
		Relief BAL
	-	-1.07	=	2
BAL1.93		Seth Lugo
	-	3.29	=	-1
		Relief KCA
	-	-0.13	=	2

KCA WAA		BAL WAA
0.17	-	0.66	=	0

KCA UR		BAL UR
3.1	-	-0.01	=	3

2024 Vegas Status

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
KCA	86	76	0.2%	-11.1%	163
BAL	91	71	-0.6%	-4.3%	162

2024 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
KCA	86	76	20.8	49.6	20.7	-9.1	WC
BAL	91	71	80.4	9.8	-1.2	1.3	WC