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NLDS Game 1 CHN MIL 2025-10-04

Starters

TmRankWAANameIPTier
CHN+043+4.03Matt Boyd179.71.31
MIL+016+5.92Freddy Peralta176.73.03

Line Score

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHN100 001 01031661
MIL630 000 00917130

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

TmOpenCurrentLineWinTC Sim
CHN0.4410.450+122222X
MIL0.6080.590-144169X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHN1.48Freddy Peralta
-3.03=-2
Relief MIL
-4.96=-3
MIL0.99Matt Boyd
-1.31=0
Relief CHN
-0=1
CHN WAAMIL WAA
0.95-2.02=-1
CHN URMIL UR
4--0.01=4

2025 Vegas Status

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
CHN0.5650.568-0.2%-11.7%158
MIL0.5280.5999.0%-19.3%159

2025 Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHN927077.846.725.5-9.5WC
MIL976581.791.6-1.3-4.1NLDS

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