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NLDS Game 4 MIL CHN 2025-10-09

Starters

TmRankWAANameIPTier
MIL+016+5.92Freddy Peralta176.73.03
CHN+043+4.03Matt Boyd179.71.31

Line Score

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIL000 000 0000431
CHN300 001 11619100

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

TmOpenCurrentLineWinTC Sim
MIL0.3940.543-119184X
CHN0.6490.500+100200X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
MIL0.99Matt Boyd
-1.31=0
Relief CHN
-0=1
CHN1.48Freddy Peralta
-3.03=-2
Relief MIL
-4.96=-3
MIL WAACHN WAA
2.02-0.95=1
MIL URCHN UR
-0.01-4=-4

2025 Vegas Status

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
MIL00.5990.0%0.0%0
CHN00.5680.0%0.0%0

2025 Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIL976581.791.6-1.3-4.1NLDS
CHN927077.846.725.5-9.5WC

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