ALDS Game 5 2025-10-10

DET SEA

ALDS Game 5 DET SEA 2025-10-10

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
DET	+003+	8.85	Tarik Skubal	195.3	7.12
SEA	XXXXX	-0.40	George Kirby	126.0	-0.07

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
DET	000 002 000 000 000	2	13	8	2
SEA	010 000 100 000 00	3	10	8	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
DET	0.565	0.543	-119	184	X
SEA	0.483	0.500	+100	200	X

2025 DET SEA Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
DET0.19		George Kirby
	-	-0.07	=	0
		Relief SEA
	-	1.06	=	-1
SEA2.4		Tarik Skubal
	-	7.12	=	-2
		Relief DET
	-	0.58	=	2

DET WAA		SEA WAA
0.28	-	0.64	=	0

DET UR		SEA UR
0.01	-	-1.15	=	1

2025 Vegas Status

Tm	Vegas	Real	For	Against	#Bets
DET	0	0.537	0.0%	0.0%	0
SEA	0	0.556	0.0%	0.0%	0

2025 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
DET	87	75	29.3	36.6	1.2	-2.1	WC
SEA	90	72	54.8	29.7	-12.5	2.9	ALDS