ALC Game 4 2025-10-16

TOR SEA

ALC Game 4 TOR SEA 2025-10-16

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
TOR	-131-	-2.06	Max Scherzer	85.0	-0.62
SEA	+140+	2.28	Luis Castillo	180.7	0.35

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
TOR	003 200 120	8	20	11	0
SEA	010 001 000	2	8	5	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
TOR	0.459	0.490	+104	204	X
SEA	0.588	0.552	-123	181	X

2025 TOR SEA Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
TOR1.39		Luis Castillo
	-	0.35	=	1
		Relief SEA
	-	1.06	=	0
SEA2.94		Max Scherzer
	-	-0.62	=	4
		Relief TOR
	-	2.08	=	1

TOR WAA		SEA WAA
1.33	-	0.64	=	1

TOR UR		SEA UR
1.73	-	-1.15	=	3

2025 Vegas Status

Tm	Vegas	Real	For	Against	#Bets
TOR	0	0.580	0.0%	0.0%	0
SEA	0	0.556	0.0%	0.0%	0

2025 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
TOR	94	68	78.0	-16.4	15.3	9.9	ALDS
SEA	90	72	54.8	29.7	-12.5	2.9	ALDS