Choose a Day

PHI SDN 2024-04-27 19:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
PHI200 030 00051280
SDN000 000 0101630

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
PHI1.970.80Ranger Suarez (L) 33.01.18
SDN1.482.51Dylan Cease (R) 29.72.77

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
PHI0.5120.507-103970.505 - 0.512X
SDN0.5350.533-114880.535 - 0.541X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
PHI1.7Dylan Cease
-2.77=-1
Relief SDN
-0.43=1
SDN0.01Ranger Suarez
-1.18=-1
Relief PHI
--0.2=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
PHI18104.112.06.83.2
SDN14167.4-7.3-2.1-1.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
PHI16126.3%-23.5%28
SDN1515-12.3%5.8%28

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:40

details
PHI0.507XXXXXX
SDN0.533XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYPHI0.94-0.020.04-0.270.88
HOMESDN-0.02-1.280.43-0.65-0.73

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