Choose a Day

WAS MIA 2024-04-27 15:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
WAS001 051 3011123110
MIA100 000 003419133

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
WAS0.690.00Mitchell Parker (L) 12.00.01
MIA0.180.85Edward Cabrera (R) 11.00.06

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
WAS0.4440.4551201200.444 - 0.459X
MIA0.6000.587-142700.585 - 0.600X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
WAS-1.81Edward Cabrera
-0.06=-2
Relief MIA
--2.33=1
MIA-2.29Mitchell Parker
-0.01=-2
Relief WAS
--0.01=-2

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
WAS1214-12.1-7.06.20.7
MIA622-29.9-24.0-2.2-4.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
WAS101615.8%-12.7%26
MIA1315-49.5%43.3%28

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
15:10

details
WAS0.455XXXXXX
MIA0.587XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYWAS-0.170.98-0.350.273.59
HOMEMIA-4.32-7.65-2.69-4.02-0.01

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