Choose a Day

Expected Values for 2024-07-20

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
TBA0.4220.3920.3620.36492.985.886.3
NYA0.6180.6080.6380.63698.5103.4103.0
12:07

details
SLN0.5430.5120.4820.47694.288.787.6
ATL0.4980.4880.5180.52498.1104.1105.3
14:07

details
DET0.4900.5140.4840.527104.998.7107.5
TOR0.5500.4860.5160.47388.593.986.1
15:07

details
ANA0.444NANANANANANA
OAK0.597NANANANANANA
15:10

details
NYN0.6180.6360.6100.667103.098.8108.1
MIA0.4200.3640.3900.33386.692.879.3
17:40

details
PHI0.6300.6460.6010.658102.795.6104.6
PIT0.4100.3540.3990.34286.497.483.4
17:45

details
CIN0.5370.5470.5180.560101.796.3104.2
WAS0.5050.4530.4820.44089.795.487.1
18:05

details
BAL0.5280.5510.5080.584104.196.0110.4
TEX0.5120.4490.4920.41687.695.981.1
18:10

details
MIL0.4880.5380.4940.508110.3101.3104.1
MIN0.5540.4620.5060.49283.691.689.1
18:10

details
CHA0.3330.3420.3250.281102.697.584.3
KCA0.7100.6580.6750.71992.895.2101.4
18:10

details
SDN0.507OOOOOO
CLE0.535OOOOOO
18:15

details
BOS0.465NANANANANANA
LAN0.576NANANANANANA
18:15

details
ARI0.5800.6370.6030.607109.6103.7104.4
CHN0.4610.3630.3970.39378.886.185.3
18:20

details
SLN0.4570.5120.4820.476112.1105.6104.2
ATL0.5830.4880.5180.52483.488.689.6
19:10

details
SFN0.6320.6310.5890.64399.793.1101.6
COL0.4100.3690.4110.35790.0100.387.1
20:40

details
HOU0.4690.5110.4800.475108.8102.2101.2
SEA0.5690.4890.5200.52586.191.592.4

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon