Choose a Day

Expected Values for 2024-08-03

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
TOR0.340OOOOOO
NYA0.703OOOOOO
13:20

details
SLN0.5100.4730.4440.44492.787.087.0
CHN0.5310.5270.5560.55699.1104.5104.5
15:05

details
MIL0.545HAHA0.506HAHA92.6
WAS0.498HAHA0.494HAHA99.3
17:10

details
KCA0.541OOOOOO
DET0.500OOOOOO
17:40

details
ARI0.4980.4880.4550.45898.191.592.1
PIT0.5450.5120.5450.54293.799.799.2
18:05

details
BOS0.5280.5590.5300.572105.7100.2108.1
TEX0.5120.4410.4700.42886.091.683.5
18:10

details
CHA0.3100.3350.3050.272108.298.587.9
MIN0.7330.6650.6950.72890.494.599.0
18:15

details
TBA0.4350.4200.3960.39196.691.189.9
HOU0.6060.5800.6040.60995.799.7100.5
18:15

details
BAL0.541NANANANANANA
CLE0.500NANANANANANA
18:15

details
SFN0.4630.4510.4210.42297.490.991.2
CIN0.5740.5490.5790.57895.5100.7100.6
18:20

details
MIA0.328OOOOOO
ATL0.717OOOOOO
19:40

details
COL0.366HAHA0.375HAHA102.4
SDN0.678HAHA0.625HAHA91.9
20:07

details
LAN0.6390.6090.5790.58095.090.390.5
OAK0.4050.3910.4210.42096.6104.0103.7
20:38

details
NYN0.5610.5990.5550.630106.698.8112.1
ANA0.4780.4010.4450.37083.893.077.3
20:40

details
PHI0.500OOOOOO
SEA0.541OOOOOO

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon