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Expected Values for 2024-08-14

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:10

details
KCA0.5350.5630.5180.526105.396.998.4
MIN0.5070.4370.4820.47486.195.093.4
14:40

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COL0.366OOOOOO
ARI0.675OOOOOO
15:10

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PIT0.461------
SDN0.578------
17:10

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TEX0.463OOOOOO
BOS0.576OOOOOO
17:35

details
WAS0.4120.4680.4230.437113.7102.8106.2
BAL0.6310.5320.5770.56384.191.289.0
17:40

details
MIA0.4080.3880.3560.34095.187.283.3
PHI0.6310.6120.6440.66096.7101.8104.3
17:40

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SEA0.5830.5520.5260.52294.489.989.3
DET0.4550.4480.4740.47898.6104.3105.2
17:40

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CHN0.463NANANANANANA
CLE0.576NANANANANANA
17:40

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SLN0.5350.5770.5470.548107.9102.3102.5
CIN0.5050.4230.4530.45283.889.789.5
17:50

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HOU0.5520.5700.5410.582103.297.9105.3
TBA0.4900.4300.4590.41887.793.685.3
18:10

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OAK0.3550.3920.3610.351110.5101.899.0
NYN0.6880.6080.6390.64988.292.794.1
19:10

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LAN0.5350.5300.4960.49999.192.893.3
MIL0.5050.4700.5040.50193.199.899.2
19:10

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NYA0.709NANANANANANA
CHA0.338NANANANANANA
20:38

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TOR0.5100.5060.4820.52399.294.5102.5
ANA0.5310.4940.5180.47792.997.489.7
20:45

details
ATL0.4780.5000.4700.470104.598.298.2
SFN0.5610.5000.5300.53089.094.394.3

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