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Expected Values for 2024-09-28

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
PIT0.4630.4660.4380.436100.794.694.2
NYA0.5740.5340.5620.56492.997.898.1
12:10

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CHA0.3530.3550.3260.298100.592.384.3
DET0.6880.6450.6740.70293.597.7101.8
13:20

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CIN0.4760.5250.4750.495110.299.8104.0
CHN0.5630.4750.5250.50584.593.589.9
14:07

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MIA0.407OOOOOO
TOR0.634OOOOOO
15:05

details
PHI0.6710.6820.6520.693101.697.1103.3
WAS0.3700.3180.3480.30785.994.082.9
15:05

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SLN0.483NANANANANANA
SFN0.558NANANANANANA
15:10

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TBA0.4950.5000.4710.470101.095.194.9
BOS0.5450.5000.5290.53091.596.897.0
17:10

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HOU0.457HAHA0.387HAHA84.8
CLE0.585HAHA0.613HAHA104.8
18:15

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BAL0.5000.5200.4890.533104.097.8106.6
MIN0.5430.4800.5110.46788.394.085.9
18:15

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NYN0.5240.5000.4700.46995.589.889.6
MIL0.5170.5000.5300.53196.5102.3102.5
18:20

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KCA0.334OOOOOO
ATL0.707OOOOOO
19:10

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LAN0.718NANANANANANA
COL0.325NANANANANANA
19:10

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SDN0.3550.3940.3630.411111.1102.4115.9
ARI0.6880.6060.6370.58987.992.485.4
20:38

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TEX0.5880.6070.5610.623103.295.4105.9
ANA0.4520.3930.4390.37786.997.083.3
20:40

details
OAK0.4550.4700.4400.426103.496.893.7
SEA0.5850.5300.5600.57490.695.898.2

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